Jason Day vs Kendall Grove
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-12-0Record24-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamStraight Rootless Fight Team
What's at stake
Kendall Grove is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Day carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1585
If they lose-11→ 1561
If they win+11→ 1600
If they lose-13→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason DayKendall Grove
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kendall Grove54%
Jason Day 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kendall Grove a 54% favorite over Jason Day in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Kendall Grove holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1572, a 17-point edge.
Jason Day enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jason Day finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kendall Grove 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.