Jason Day vs Kendall Grove
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-12-0Record24-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champion's Creed MMA· 1641 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamStraight Rootless Fight Team
What's at stake
Kendall Grove is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Day carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1585
If they lose-11→ 1561
If they win+11→ 1599
If they lose-13→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason DayKendall Grove
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kendall Grove61%
Jason Day 39%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kendall Grove a 61% favorite over Jason Day in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Kendall Grove holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1572, a 16-point edge.
Jason Day enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jason Day finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kendall Grove 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.