Jason Day vs Michael Bisping
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-12-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champion's Creed MMA· 1641 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamHB Ultimate
What's at stake
Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jason Day carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1589
If they lose-7→ 1565
If they win+7→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason DayMichael Bisping
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Bisping79%
Jason Day 21%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 79% favorite over Jason Day in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1572, a 169-point edge.
Jason Day enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Day finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.