Jason Fairn vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-5-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight240 lbs
Fairn Jiu-JitsuTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jason Fairn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1484
If they lose-20→ 1436
If they win+20→ 1529
If they lose-28→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter78%
Jason Fairn 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 78% favorite over Jason Fairn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1456, a 53-point edge.
Jason Fairn finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.