Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Fairn vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Fairn
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Jason Fairn

“Bonecracker”

4-5-0HeavyweightAFC

1456Average

Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
230 lbsWeight264 lbs
Fairn Jiu-JitsuTeamTBD

What's at stake

Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jason Fairn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason FairnNow 1456
If they win+25→ 1481
If they lose-23→ 1433
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+23→ 1495
If they lose-25→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason FairnSean Rose
1450150020022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
4 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose60%
Jason Fairn 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 60% favorite over Jason Fairn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1456, a 16-point edge.

Jason Fairn finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.