Jason Fairn vs Sergio Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-5-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight265 lbs
Fairn Jiu-JitsuTeamThe Royal Society Striking Academy
What's at stake
Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Jason Fairn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1481
If they lose-23→ 1433
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Martinez65%
Jason Fairn 35%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 65% favorite over Jason Fairn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1456, a 15-point edge.
Jason Fairn finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.