Jason Gilliam vs Lucas Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record5-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight177 lbs
Team WolfpackTeamThe King Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason GilliamLucas Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Gilliam53%
Lucas Silva 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Gilliam a 53% favorite over Lucas Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1528), separated by just 1 points.
Jason Gilliam finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Silva 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.