Jason Gilliam vs Nathan Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record17-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team WolfpackTeamGeat Britian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
If they win+12→ 1542
If they lose-12→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason GilliamNathan Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nathan Jones66%
Jason Gilliam 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Jones a 66% favorite over Jason Gilliam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1530), separated by just 1 points.
Jason Gilliam finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Jones 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.