Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Gilliam vs Nonato Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight161 lbs
Team WolfpackTeamGameness Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason GilliamNow 1529
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-16→ 1513
Nonato JuniorNow 1532
If they win+12→ 1544
If they lose-12→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason GilliamNonato Junior
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
5 (33%)
Submission
16 (84%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior63%
Jason Gilliam 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 63% favorite over Jason Gilliam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1532), separated by just 3 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Gilliam finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.