Jason Glaza vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight262 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason GlazaMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Glaza59%
Matheus Scheffel 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Glaza a 59% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matheus Scheffel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1524), separated by just 2 points.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jason Glaza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.