Jason Glaza vs Nicolaj Wagner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record5-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight249 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1547
If they lose-23→ 1499
If they win+23→ 1555
If they lose-25→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason GlazaNicolaj Wagner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolaj Wagner60%
Jason Glaza 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolaj Wagner a 60% favorite over Jason Glaza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1532), separated by just 10 points.
Jason Glaza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nicolaj Wagner 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.