Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Glaza vs Roggers Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
230 lbsWeight265 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamAlcateia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason GlazaNow 1522
If they win+25→ 1547
If they lose-23→ 1499
Roggers SouzaNow 1530
If they win+16→ 1546
If they lose-16→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason GlazaRoggers Souza
1500155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
1 (33%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Roggers Souza59%
Jason Glaza 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Roggers Souza a 59% favorite over Jason Glaza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1530), separated by just 8 points.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason Glaza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roggers Souza 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.