Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Guida vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-28-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
214 lbsWeight264 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamTBD

What's at stake

Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jason Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason GuidaNow 1420
If they win+14→ 1434
If they lose-10→ 1410
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+20→ 1492
If they lose-28→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason GuidaSean Rose
1400145015002012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
9 (47%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (16%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose70%
Jason Guida 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 70% favorite over Jason Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1420, a 52-point edge.

Jason Guida finishes 84% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.