Jason Jackson vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
79"Reach76"
182 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason JacksonNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Jackson70%
Nick Diaz 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Jackson a 70% favorite over Nick Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Diaz's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1759), separated by just 4 points.
Nick Diaz enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jason Jackson finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Jason Jackson and Nick Diaz share 1 common opponent: Paul Daley.
Jason Jackson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.