Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Knight vs Jim Alers

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Alers
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Jim Alers

“The Beast”

14-5-0FeatherweightCG

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

23-8-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Jason Knight is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jim Alers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason KnightNow 1676
If they win+11→ 1687
If they lose-13→ 1663
Jim AlersNow 1637
If they win+18→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
34%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.31
Takedown avg.
2.26
31%
Takedown accuracy
41%
47%
Takedown defense
80%
1.70
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Jason KnightJim Alers
165017002022

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
15 (65%)
Submission
10 (71%)
4 (17%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Knight73%
Jim Alers 27%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Knight a 73% favorite over Jim Alers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jason Knight holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1637, a 39-point edge.

Jim Alers enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Knight finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jim Alers 86%.

Jason Knight and Jim Alers share 1 common opponent: Chas Skelly.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2017
Chas Skelly
LossKO/TKO · 2015