Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Knight vs Jordan Rinaldi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

Jason Knight is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jordan Rinaldi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason KnightNow 1676
If they win+10→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1662
Jordan RinaldiNow 1616
If they win+19→ 1635
If they lose-13→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
34%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
52%
Strike defense
59%
1.31
Takedown avg.
1.45
31%
Takedown accuracy
36%
47%
Takedown defense
20%
1.70
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Jason KnightJordan Rinaldi
160016501700201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
15 (65%)
Submission
8 (57%)
4 (17%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Knight72%
Jordan Rinaldi 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Knight a 72% favorite over Jordan Rinaldi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Jason Knight holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1616, a 60-point edge.

Jason Knight finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Rinaldi 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.