Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Knight vs Makwan Amirkhani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Jason Knight is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Makwan Amirkhani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason KnightNow 1676
If they win+10→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1662
Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+19→ 1640
If they lose-13→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.95
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
34%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
52%
Strike defense
46%
1.31
Takedown avg.
3.96
31%
Takedown accuracy
15%
47%
Takedown defense
36%
1.70
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Jason KnightMakwan Amirkhani
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
15 (65%)
Submission
14 (70%)
4 (17%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Knight70%
Makwan Amirkhani 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Knight a 70% favorite over Makwan Amirkhani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jason Knight holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1621, a 55-point edge.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jason Knight finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.