Jason Knight vs Tatsuya Kawajiri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record37-14-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71,0"Reach69.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamT-Blood
What's at stake
Tatsuya Kawajiri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jason Knight carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1690
If they lose-10→ 1666
If they win+10→ 1744
If they lose-14→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason KnightTatsuya Kawajiri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuya Kawajiri51%
Jason Knight 49%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuya Kawajiri a 51% favorite over Jason Knight in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Tatsuya Kawajiri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1676, a 58-point edge.
Jason Knight finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Kawajiri 61%.
Jason Knight carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.