Jason Lambert vs Rashad Evans
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-13-0Record20-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Rashad Evans is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Lambert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1649
If they lose-11→ 1625
If they win+11→ 1685
If they lose-13→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason LambertRashad Evans
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rashad Evans70%
Jason Lambert 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Rashad Evans a 70% favorite over Jason Lambert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Rashad Evans holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1636, a 38-point edge.
Jason Lambert finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Evans 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.