Jason MacDonald vs Joe Doerksen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-16-0Record51-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Pure FitnessTeamCanadian Fighting Centre
What's at stake
Joe Doerksen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jason MacDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-8→ 1579
If they win+8→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason MacDonaldJoe Doerksen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Doerksen75%
Jason MacDonald 25%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Doerksen a 75% favorite over Jason MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Joe Doerksen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1587, a 125-point edge.
Jason MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jason MacDonald finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Joe Doerksen 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.