Jason MacDonald vs John Salter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-16-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pure FitnessTeamGym-O
What's at stake
John Salter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jason MacDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1604
If they lose-7→ 1580
If they win+7→ 1734
If they lose-17→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason MacDonaldJohn Salter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Salter81%
Jason MacDonald 19%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes John Salter a 81% favorite over Jason MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
John Salter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1587, a 140-point edge.
Jason MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason MacDonald finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, John Salter 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.