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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason MacDonald vs Rory Singer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rory Singer
us

Rory Singer

“Outburst”

11-9-0MiddleweightMFC

1541Average

Tale of the tape

25-16-0Record11-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pure FitnessTeamHardcore Gym

What's at stake

Jason MacDonald is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rory Singer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason MacDonaldNow 1587
If they win+10→ 1597
If they lose-14→ 1573
Rory SingerNow 1541
If they win+18→ 1559
If they lose-14→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
53%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
47%
Strike defense
64%
1.43
Takedown avg.
0.39
16%
Takedown accuracy
25%
35%
Takedown defense
65%
1.97
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Jason MacDonaldRory Singer
15501600200720082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

3 (12%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
19 (76%)
Submission
6 (55%)
3 (12%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason MacDonald52%
Rory Singer 48%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason MacDonald a 52% favorite over Rory Singer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Jason MacDonald holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1587 to 1541, a 46-point edge.

Jason MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rory Singer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason MacDonald finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rory Singer 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.