Jason MacDonald vs Yushin Okami
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-16-0Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pure FitnessTeamEXFIGHT
What's at stake
Yushin Okami is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jason MacDonald carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1602
If they lose-9→ 1578
If they win+9→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason MacDonaldYushin Okami
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yushin Okami77%
Jason MacDonald 23%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Yushin Okami a 77% favorite over Jason MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Yushin Okami holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1587, a 85-point edge.
Jason MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason MacDonald finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.