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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Polydor vs Wendell Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Polydor
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Jason Polydor

“Black Panther”

2-6-0WelterweightHXMMA

1425Developing

Tale of the tape

2-6-0Record31-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Le Temple BordeauxTeamWar Machine

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason PolydorNow 1425
If they win+24→ 1449
If they lose-24→ 1401
Wendell OliveiraNow 1432
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jason PolydorWendell Oliveira
14501500202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
1 (50%)
Submission
4 (13%)
1 (50%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Wendell Oliveira53%
Jason Polydor 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Wendell Oliveira a 53% favorite over Jason Polydor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1425 vs 1432), separated by just 7 points.

Jason Polydor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Wendell Oliveira enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Wendell Oliveira 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.