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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Reinhardt vs Joe Lauzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record28-15-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wand Fight TeamTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

Jason Reinhardt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason ReinhardtNow 1665
If they win+15→ 1680
If they lose-17→ 1648
Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.39
44%
Strike defense
55%
1.91
Takedown avg.
2.39
13%
Takedown accuracy
45%
50%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
2.04

Trajectory

Jason ReinhardtJoe Lauzon
1650170020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (32%)
16 (80%)
Submission
17 (61%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon69%
Jason Reinhardt 31%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 69% favorite over Jason Reinhardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Reinhardt's way (48%).

Jason Reinhardt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1649, a 16-point edge.

Jason Reinhardt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Reinhardt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.