Jason Reinhardt vs Lewis McGrillen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record12-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Wand Fight TeamTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason ReinhardtLewis McGrillen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lewis McGrillen88%
Jason Reinhardt 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lewis McGrillen a 88% favorite over Jason Reinhardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Reinhardt's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1665), separated by just 0 points.
Jason Reinhardt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Reinhardt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lewis McGrillen 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.