Jason Reinhardt vs Tiequan Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-3-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Wand Fight TeamTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Jason Reinhardt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tiequan Zhang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1674
If they lose-23→ 1642
If they win+34→ 1545
If they lose-14→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason ReinhardtTiequan Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Reinhardt70%
Tiequan Zhang 30%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Reinhardt a 70% favorite over Tiequan Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Jason Reinhardt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1511, a 154-point edge.
Jason Reinhardt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jason Reinhardt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tiequan Zhang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.