Jason Saggo vs Josiah Harrell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71,0"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamGrove City BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason SaggoJosiah Harrell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josiah Harrell57%
Jason Saggo 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 57% favorite over Jason Saggo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Saggo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1677), separated by just 4 points.
Josiah Harrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Josiah Harrell 91%.
Jason Saggo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.