Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Saggo vs Justin Salas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

Jason Saggo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Justin Salas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason SaggoNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655
Justin SalasNow 1593
If they win+20→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
52%
Strike defense
69%
2.33
Takedown avg.
2.43
40%
Takedown accuracy
21%
23%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jason SaggoJustin Salas
16001650170020142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
9 (69%)
Submission
3 (25%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Saggo75%
Justin Salas 25%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Saggo a 75% favorite over Justin Salas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Jason Saggo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1593, a 82-point edge.

Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Justin Salas 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.