Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jason Saggo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Leandro Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1696
If they lose-17→ 1664
If they win+13→ 1668
If they lose-11→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason SaggoLeandro Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Saggo52%
Leandro Silva 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Saggo a 52% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jason Saggo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1655, a 26-point edge.
Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.