Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leandro Silva
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Leandro Silva

“Buscape / Apollo”

28-12-1LightweightOKMMA

1671Good

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71,0"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason SaggoNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Leandro SilvaNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
52%
Strike defense
63%
2.33
Takedown avg.
1.76
40%
Takedown accuracy
38%
23%
Takedown defense
66%
0
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Jason SaggoLeandro Silva
1650170020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (11%)
9 (69%)
Submission
11 (39%)
1 (8%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Saggo66%
Leandro Silva 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Saggo a 66% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1671), separated by just 4 points.

Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.