Jason Saggo vs Rustam Khabilov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71,0"Reach40,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jason Saggo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1696
If they lose-11→ 1664
If they win+8→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1769
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason SaggoRustam Khabilov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Khabilov77%
Jason Saggo 23%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 77% favorite over Jason Saggo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1675, a 110-point edge.
Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.
Jason Saggo and Rustam Khabilov share 1 common opponent: Leandro Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.