Jason Saggo vs Samuel Sanches
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamGalpao da Luta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason SaggoSamuel Sanches
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Sanches67%
Jason Saggo 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Sanches a 67% favorite over Jason Saggo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Saggo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1675), separated by just 0 points.
Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Sanches 82%.
Samuel Sanches carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.