Jason Saggo vs Samuel Sanches
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wulfrun MMATeamGalpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason SaggoSamuel Sanches
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Saggo56%
Samuel Sanches 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Saggo a 56% favorite over Samuel Sanches in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1676), separated by just 5 points.
Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jason Saggo finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Sanches 82%.
Samuel Sanches carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.