Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Suttie vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1491Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
220 lbsWeight246 lbs
TeamRanger Gym

What's at stake

Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Suttie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason SuttieNow 1471
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Ryo SakaiNow 1491
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason SuttieRyo Sakai
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai69%
Jason Suttie 31%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 69% favorite over Jason Suttie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1471, a 20-point edge.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.