Jason Tan vs Marcus Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Marcus Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Tan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1642
If they lose-21→ 1594
If they win+11→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason TanMarcus Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Davis56%
Jason Tan 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Davis a 56% favorite over Jason Tan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marcus Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1615, a 41-point edge.
Jason Tan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.