Jason Von Flue vs Joe Riggs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-12-1Record49-18-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach37,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Live WireTeamSoul Fighters
What's at stake
Joe Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Jason Von Flue carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1504
If they lose-5→ 1480
If they win+5→ 1709
If they lose-19→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason Von FlueJoe Riggs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Riggs83%
Jason Von Flue 17%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Riggs a 83% favorite over Jason Von Flue in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Joe Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1485, a 219-point edge.
Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jason Von Flue finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.