Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Von Flue vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-12-1Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Team Live WireTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason Von FlueNow 1485
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-16→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.06
Takedown avg.
TBD
18%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.59
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason Von FlueLeandro Camargo
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
13 (93%)
Submission
6 (86%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo75%
Jason Von Flue 25%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 75% favorite over Jason Von Flue in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1489), separated by just 4 points.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason Von Flue finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.