Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Von Flue vs Luke Cummo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-12-1Record6-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Live WireTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

Luke Cummo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jason Von Flue carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason Von FlueNow 1485
If they win+13→ 1498
If they lose-11→ 1474
Luke CummoNow 1515
If they win+15→ 1530
If they lose-17→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.59
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
1.06
Takedown avg.
0.89
18%
Takedown accuracy
56%
59%
Takedown defense
43%
1.59
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Jason Von FlueLuke Cummo
150015502006200720082009

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
13 (93%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Cummo64%
Jason Von Flue 36%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Cummo a 64% favorite over Jason Von Flue in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Luke Cummo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1515 to 1485, a 30-point edge.

Jason Von Flue finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Cummo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.