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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Witt vs Jonathan Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Witt
us

Jason Witt

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

19-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1595Solid

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach71.5"
180 lbsWeight155 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamCarolina Combat Sports and Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason WittNow 1595
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
Jonathan MartinNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
6.90
Takedown avg.
Not available
48%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.92
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jason WittJonathan Martin
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
8 (44%)
Submission
5 (56%)
7 (39%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Martin51%
Jason Witt 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martin a 51% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Witt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1595), separated by just 0 points.

Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Martin 78%.

Jonathan Martin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.