Jason Witt vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record6-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70"Reach72"
180 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas
What's at stake
Jason Witt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Quinlan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1607
If they lose-14→ 1583
If they win+18→ 1564
If they lose-14→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason WittJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Witt59%
Josh Quinlan 41%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Witt a 59% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jason Witt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1546, a 51-point edge.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Josh Quinlan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.