Jason Witt vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
70"Reach80"
180 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
Phil Rowe is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jason Witt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1610
If they lose-11→ 1586
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-18→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason WittPhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Rowe72%
Jason Witt 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 72% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Phil Rowe holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1597, a 40-point edge.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Phil Rowe carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.