Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Witt vs Ruslan Nazhmudinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Witt
us

Jason Witt

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

19-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1596Solid

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record10-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
70"Reach-
180 lbsWeight205 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason WittNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Ruslan NazhmudinovNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
6.90
Takedown avg.
TBD
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.92
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason WittRuslan Nazhmudinov
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
8 (44%)
Submission
1 (11%)
7 (39%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Nazhmudinov71%
Jason Witt 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Nazhmudinov a 71% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1600), separated by just 4 points.

Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Nazhmudinov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.