Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Witt vs Sergio Cossio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Witt
us

Jason Witt

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

19-9-0MiddleweightUFC

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record19-12-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
180 lbsWeight166 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamInv1ktus Durango

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason WittNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Sergio CossioNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
6.90
Takedown avg.
TBD
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.92
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason WittSergio Cossio
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
8 (44%)
Submission
9 (47%)
7 (39%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Cossio51%
Jason Witt 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Cossio a 51% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Witt's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1588), separated by just 9 points.

Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.