Jason Witt vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record15-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
180 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Jason Witt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Takashi Sato carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1584
If they win+13→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason WittTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Witt51%
Takashi Sato 49%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Witt a 51% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Jason Witt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1579, a 18-point edge.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Takashi Sato carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.