Jason Witt vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record15-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
180 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason WittTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takashi Sato64%
Jason Witt 36%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Takashi Sato a 64% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Witt's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1584), separated by just 11 points.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Jason Witt finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Takashi Sato carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.