Jason Young vs Michihiro Omigawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record18-15-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNeo Judo Academy
What's at stake
Michihiro Omigawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jason Young carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1561
If they lose-11→ 1529
If they win+8→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason YoungMichihiro Omigawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Young54%
Michihiro Omigawa 46%Elo baseline: 34%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Young a 54% favorite over Michihiro Omigawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michihiro Omigawa's way (34%).
Michihiro Omigawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1540, a 118-point edge.
Jason Young finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Michihiro Omigawa 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.