Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Young vs Michihiro Omigawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Young

Jason Young

“Shotgun”

9-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record19-15-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNeo Judo Academy

What's at stake

Michihiro Omigawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jason Young carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason YoungNow 1540
If they win+21→ 1561
If they lose-11→ 1529
Michihiro OmigawaNow 1644
If they win+9→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
37%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
50%
Strike defense
64%
1.98
Takedown avg.
1.19
67%
Takedown accuracy
37%
55%
Takedown defense
49%
0
Submission avg.
1.51

Trajectory

Jason YoungMichihiro Omigawa
1550160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (11%)
Submission
5 (26%)
5 (56%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Michihiro Omigawa54%
Jason Young 46%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Michihiro Omigawa a 54% favorite over Jason Young in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Michihiro Omigawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1540, a 104-point edge.

Jason Young finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Michihiro Omigawa 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.