Combat Edge Intelligence

Javad Mahjoub vs Mukhamad Vakhaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record13-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach-
254 lbsWeight266 lbs
Alavanca CalgaryTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Javad MahjoubNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Mukhamad VakhaevNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Javad MahjoubMukhamad Vakhaev
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
1 (20%)
Submission
5 (38%)
1 (20%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Javad Mahjoub52%
Mukhamad Vakhaev 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Javad Mahjoub a 52% favorite over Mukhamad Vakhaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mukhamad Vakhaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Javad Mahjoub enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Javad Mahjoub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamad Vakhaev 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.