Combat Edge Intelligence

Javad Mahjoub vs Roque Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach72,0"
254 lbsWeight239 lbs
Alavanca CalgaryTeamSpike 22

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Javad MahjoubNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Roque MartinezNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Javad MahjoubRoque Martinez
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
1 (20%)
Submission
4 (22%)
1 (20%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Javad Mahjoub70%
Roque Martinez 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Javad Mahjoub a 70% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Javad Mahjoub enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Javad Mahjoub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.