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Combat Edge Intelligence

Javi Alanis vs Paulo Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-4-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
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TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
Team

What's at stake

Paulo Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Javi Alanis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Javi AlanisNow 1406
If they win+28→ 1434
If they lose-20→ 1386
Paulo SantosNow 1466
If they win+20→ 1486
If they lose-28→ 1438

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Javi AlanisPaulo Santos
140014501500200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Combat Edge model read

Javi Alanis52%
Paulo Santos 48%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Javi Alanis a 52% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulo Santos's way (41%).

Paulo Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1406, a 60-point edge.

Javi Alanis enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Paulo Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.