Combat Edge Intelligence

Javid Basharat vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Javid Basharat is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mateus Mendonça carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Javid BasharatNow 1727
If they win+13→ 1740
If they lose-19→ 1708
Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+19→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.41
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
62%
Strike defense
30%
1.62
Takedown avg.
2.54
41%
Takedown accuracy
27%
84%
Takedown defense
56%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Javid BasharatMateus Mendonça
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Javid Basharat71%
Mateus Mendonça 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Javid Basharat a 71% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Javid Basharat holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1656, a 71-point edge.

Javid Basharat finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.