Combat Edge Intelligence

Javid Basharat vs Said Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Javid BasharatNow 1740
If they win+15→ 1755
If they lose-17→ 1723
Said NurmagomedovNow 1727
If they win+17→ 1744
If they lose-15→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
55%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
64%
Strike defense
56%
1.83
Takedown avg.
0.86
0%
Takedown accuracy
15%
84%
Takedown defense
63%
0.15
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Javid BasharatSaid Nurmagomedov
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
6 (38%)
Submission
6 (33%)
5 (31%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Javid Basharat83%
Said Nurmagomedov 17%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Javid Basharat a 83% favorite over Said Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1727), separated by just 13 points.

Javid Basharat enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Javid Basharat finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.