Javid Basharat vs Tony Gravely
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record23-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Javid Basharat is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Tony Gravely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1753
If they lose-19→ 1721
If they win+14→ 1698
If they lose-10→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Javid BasharatTony Gravely
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Javid Basharat92%
Tony Gravely 8%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Javid Basharat a 92% favorite over Tony Gravely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Javid Basharat holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1684, a 56-point edge.
Javid Basharat enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Javid Basharat finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.