Combat Edge Intelligence

Javid Basharat vs Tony Gravely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record23-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Javid Basharat is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tony Gravely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Javid BasharatNow 1727
If they win+14→ 1741
If they lose-18→ 1709
Tony GravelyNow 1684
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.82
54%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.47
62%
Strike defense
44%
1.62
Takedown avg.
5.40
41%
Takedown accuracy
42%
84%
Takedown defense
52%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Javid BasharatTony Gravely
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
6 (40%)
Submission
3 (13%)
4 (27%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Javid Basharat70%
Tony Gravely 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Javid Basharat a 70% favorite over Tony Gravely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Javid Basharat holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1684, a 43-point edge.

Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Javid Basharat finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.