Javier Reyes vs Keiichiro Nakamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamEXFIGHT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
If they win+24→ 1701
If they lose-24→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Javier ReyesKeiichiro Nakamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Javier Reyes57%
Keiichiro Nakamura 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Javier Reyes a 57% favorite over Keiichiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.
Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Javier Reyes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Nakamura 88%.
Javier Reyes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.